I’ll pick the Bengals to cover against the spread here on the back of an impressive performance from Burrow, and I may even consider betting on them to win outright. The over has hit in 7 of the Bengals’ last 10 games and in 4 of the Browns’ last 6 games, including the last time these teams met, so I’ll lean that direction on the total. The Buccaneers’ 28-point shellacking of the Packers might be the most impressive win of the season so far. The Packers were coming off a bye week and had been the hottest offense in the NFL behind a tremendous start to the year by Aaron Rodgers. When Green Bay went up by 10 points on the road, it looked as though they were making a statement as to their Super Bowl chances this season. Then, the Buccaneers scored 28 second-quarter points and ended up scoring 38 unanswered points as the Packers rolled over and didn’t score after the first quarter.
The Jags won the AFC South despite losing to Tennessee in its final game. When the two teams meet on Sunday, two of the best defenses in the NFL will tangle. Jacksonville finished at or near the top in most every defensive statistical category. The two teams have only played each other twice over the past four seasons. Tennessee won both games, which were played at Arrowhead Stadium, the site of Saturday’s game.
While a win is a win in the NFL, the Colts will need a better effort this week if they want to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers on the road in Pittsburgh. This Ravens team is lead by their running game and most notably their MVP candidate Lamar Jackson who is in his second year in the league. Lamar has improved his completion percentage by over 7% since his rookie 2018 season and he’s running at record setting pace by averaging just over 8 yards per carry. The Ravens will need to control the clock and keep Tom Brady on the bench if they hope to win this prime time matchup at home against the undefeated Patriots. Pittsburgh has won six straight and is led by the NFL’s leading rusher, Le’Veon Bell, and the league’s leading receiver, Antonio Brown.
Sean McVay has been open this week about how he could have handled the Goff situation better. A trip to Houston against the Texans is on deck, so at least the Rams won’t be looking past this game for any reason. Rams receiver Cooper Kupp, right, and quarterback Matthew Stafford celebrate a touchdown against the Indianapolis Colts earlier this season. The roster is dealing with injuries to many positions so it will be a next-man-up mentality this week.
Both of Atlanta’s wins this season are against the NFL’s New York City teams – the Giants and the Jets. Every time I think the Cardinals might slip up, they go out and site prove me wrong. Last weekend was no different, as they dominated Cleveland as a road underdog in a win. They did so without their head coach, offensive coordinator, and numerous players, who were out because of positive COVID-19 test results. Over the last three weeks, only eight teams have allowed more sacks than the Texans. Now they must try to protect Mills against a pass rush that has made life miserable for every quarterback it has faced this season.
Lamar Jackson is once again playing at an MVP pace through the first quarter of the season and he threw for over 300 yards in onluy his second game ever last week. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are back in full effect this season with the offense coming out on fire through the first 5 games of the season. Travis Kelce is living up to the top receiving tight end title and Tyreke Hill and company have been putting up 30 points a game. The Miami Dolphins (1-7) have hardly any shot at making the AFC playoffs. But if they were to, the first step in claiming the AFC’s final postseason berth begins with a win in Buffalo on Sunday.
QB Dak Prescott and the passing game has been unspectacular so far. Prescott has 2,135 yards passing and a QB rating of just 49.5. The bright spot, of course, has been RB Ezekiel Elliott who is second in the NFL with 953 yards rushing. In last week’s win over the Falcons, Elliott had 122 yards rushing and a touchdown. Now, head coach Ron Rivera and his defense are tasked with stopping one of the most lethal offenses in the NFL.
On the other hand, the outcome of the Patriots and Cowboys tilt could move this line, and a subtle movement, either way, is a big deal since this is sitting on the key number of 7. If Dallas comes out and destroys the Patriots, there’s a chance this dips into the 6-6.5 range quickly, before inevitably getting bet back up to 7. A Patriots win or even strong showing/cover versus Dallas, and this re-opens at 8.5, minimally. When I take a position on a lookahead line, I believe the current number will beat the closing line. At times, it ends up being the best of the number, which is ideal.
Brown had seven catches for 91 yards and made a significant impact down the stretch. The game was decided by three points and had seven lead changes, tied for the most in Monday Night Football history. The Titans came away with a huge victory to move their record to 4-2, and they are firmly in the conversation for the best teams in the AFC. This week, their constantly improving offense will face the Chiefs, arguably the worst defense in the NFL.
More specifically, the Denver running game needs to generate something to take some pressure off of QB Trevor Siemian. The Broncos are just 27th in the NFL in rushing averaging 91.3 yards on the ground per game. Since losing to Dallas a week after losing to Baltimore, Pittsburgh has reeled off five straight wins.
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