Under is 5-2 in Colts’ last seven against a team with a losing record. Over is 6-1 in Packers’ last seven against a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1 in the Dolphins’ last six against a team with a losing record. We also have nine road favorites this week, which means there will be value on some home dogs.
The Bears have all sorts of problems, including a COVID outbreak that has hit head coach Matt Nagy. Chicago is 3-4 SU and 3-4 ATS on the season, but it sure doesn’t feel like it with how this team is being viewed in the public eye and the betting markets. The NFL season keeps chugging and we go back to 15 games this week with only two teams on byes. Action begins on Thursday with the watered-down Packers vs. Cardinals matchup that has been impacted by injuries and COVID.
• Oakland has failed to cover in five straight games, losing the past four outright. • Baltimore has won 10 straight games outright and has covered seven of its past eight games. Eight of the past 10 Why Were Betting On Zero By Tim Young, Founding General Partner Carolina games have gone over the total, including each of the past four. • Atlanta has failed to cover 14 straight games against AFC opponents, including playoffs (1-13 outright). The holiday season for the NFL tends to be a time for games to go under.
The under is now on the season for a 55.7% success rate – if you bet $100 on the under in every game so far, you’d have $660 of profit on the season (assuming -110 odds). Don’t blindly bet on that to continue, but keep it in mind when looking at points totals this week. Los Angeles averages 310.3 passing yards per game, fifth in the NFL. It’ll face a Tennessee pass defense that has struggled, allowing 283.5 per game and ranking 23rd.
He has been targeted 33 times and averages 74.7 receiving yards. Henry Ruggs III has been targeted 19 times and has 11 catches, leading his team with 237 yards (79.0 per game) while also scoring one touchdown. This season Joey Bosa leads the team with 1.5 sacks and has added 10 tackles.
With Russell Wilson out for the Seahawks, this could be a prime spot to jump on this trend continuing when the two teams face each other on Monday Night Football. We’ll have to wait a week to see if that trend will continue, as the Cowboys have a BYE in Week 7. After over a quarter of the NFL season, there are plenty of juicy trends and eye-catching analytics available to make smart wagering decisions. For the public sentiment, be sure to understand why the money is flowing the way it is.
The Texans have played three Overs and three Unders to this point. The Jets are off of the bye, so we’ll see if Robert Saleh and the coaching staff have been able to improve the punchless offense. The Jets are 1-4 SU and ATS on the season, with their only win over Tennessee. The Dolphins opted not to take their bye week after the London game and now won’t have a week off until Week 13. They face a home underdog role against the well-rested Falcons, who were idle last week.
informative post There have been six victories by teams with a .500-or-worse winning percentage against division leaders over the past two weeks. Over is 15-6 in Buccaneers last 21 vs. a team with a losing record. Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
This trend should still hold water in 2020, as the lack of home-field advantage won’t play a factor on the short rest angle. In the final TNF game of the season, the Chargers covered as +3.5 point underdogs on the road to the Raiders. With the victory, the Thursday game has averaged a total of 50.7 points per game, over 14 games played. The marquee NFL betting matchup in Sunday’s late afternoon window this week features a pair of NFC South Division rivals. Plenty will be on the line when it comes to the division standings when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit the road to face the New Orleans Saints.
Jeff Fisher is 8-2 ATS off a bye in the regular season since 2002. Over is 4-0 in Browns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The Ravens needed this bye week after a blowout loss to the Cincinnati Bengals and a handful of injuries.
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