In what seems to be a testament to how things played out Sunday, the Browns have initially been installed as narrower road favorites than they arguably would have been just a week ago. The Bills closed as 19-point favorites over the Texans in Week 4, so a lot of money would have to come in on Arizona to make this the largest spread of the season. But it’s clear there’s no respect for the Texans in the betting market. But the Ravens are coming off an impressive 34-6 win over the Chargers that pushed their record to 5-1. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,800 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
While Atlanta’s defense was a big part of the story Sunday, the play of Matt Ryan and Julio Jones can’t be overlooked. A total of 137 of those yards and half those scoring tosses went to Jones. Naturally, these two will be key to complementing any improvement the defense may continue to demonstrate moving forward.
Marquise Brown is coming off a quiet game, but he’s had some monster performances this year, and Mark Andrews has scored three touchdowns in his last two games. The Bengals, however, quietly https://almubeen.com.pk/2021/05/07/profit-margin-formula/ have a borderline top-ten defense this season. Chidobe Awuzie has been electric in coverage as an excellent free agency addition, while it’s hard to find a better safety tandem than Jessie Bates and Vonn Bell. Trey Hendrickson has also been a fantastic free agency add and will have the upper hand in a matchup against Alejandro Villanueva with Ronnie Stanley injured. The LA Rams looked like the worst, most inept team in all of the NFL’s week 1 action.
Let’s do a bit of quick math to highlight the obvious value of this special. At moneyline odds, a bettor looking to take the Cardinals to win would have to wager a whopping $2,400 to win $150. However, those backing the Cardinals with this FanDuel Sportsbook promo can score the same potential $150 payout with just a $5 bet. That means a prospective bettor is saving $2,395 in total risk.
Detroit (6-4) has a chance to move within a game of the Vikings (8-2) with a victory. Matthew Stafford and the rest of the Lions will have to overcome a very stingy Minnesota defense in order to do so. The Titans have lost their last three in a row but still have hopes of making the postseason.
James Conner, Bell’s replacement, is second in the NFL with 706 yards rushing. He has rushed for over 100 yards in each of his last four games. In last week’s win over Baltimore, Conner had 107 yards rushing and also caught seven passes for 56 yards and a touchdown. It’s a crucial crossover game in Pittsburgh on Sunday as the Steelers host the 6-2 Carolina Panthers. Pittsburgh has rebounded from a start to win its last four straight including last week’s win over AFC North rival Baltimore.
This brief lookahead window provides a sneak peek at how teams are valued by bookmakers prior to the start of the week. It’s also an opportunity to act before the games are posted and sharpened on Sunday evening after the previous week’s games are complete. These lines are a true indicator of how bookmakers value each team, without the influence of the recency bias that comes after watching eight hours of football earlier in the day. Depending on the bookmaker, and bettor for that matter, you may or may not be able to get the type of action down that you’d like, depending on your unit sizing. The key is understanding where the value is on the board in any given week, and that is easier to do once you know what the opening number was. One of the weirdest trends of this NFL season has been the success of road teams.
Maybe they can get things going against a Giants squad that has been outscored over the past two weeks. New York will be happy to face a non-playoff team for the first time since Week 3, but I think Carolina rights the ship behind its strong defense this week. The G-men don’t have enough weapons to beat good teams, and QB Daniel Jones continues to make mistakes under pressure. Jones threw three picks last week against the Rams, and while Sam Darnold hasn’t looked great lately, he’s looked better than Jones overall this season.
Now, the Thanksgiving Day feast will be for control of the NFC East. With two straight wins now, the Cowboys are 5-5, just a game behind the 6-4 Redskins who lost to Houston last week. Monday night’s Redskins-Eagles matchup takes on more significance after Week 12. The Redskins lost control of the NFC East with a loss to Dallas and the Eagles remained alive in the playoff race with a win over the Giants.
The Rams are a top 15 defense in most categories and have the NFL’s sack leader in DT Aaron Donald (12.5), last year’s Defensive Player of the Year. With a win over Miami last week, the Packers moved to 4-0 at home at Lambeau Field. The problem for Green Bay is that they have yet to figure out how to win on the road. The Packers (4-4-1) are now faced with the task of playing in one of the most hostile environments in the NFL in Seattle on Thursday night. Dallas has lost three of its last four Thanksgiving Day games. The Redskins also lost starting quarterback Alex Smith to a gruesome broken leg.
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