Derek Carr and crew will be ready as they need to win to retain their top seed in the AFC over the New England Patriots. While Drew Brees may have had his way with the Rams defense in the Superdome last week, there’s few defenses that can stop Drew Brees in the dome. Last week was a fluke, and the Los Angeles informative post defense will look to prove it as they take on Tom Brady and the Patriots in Foxborough. Brady and company will try to close the half game gap the Raiders hold over them for first seed in the AFC when the two meet this Sunday. In the battle of the last place teams, somebody has to win despite their best efforts to lose.
If the Rams are going to beat the Texans, it get more information will be up to QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley once again. In a matchup of two teams heading two different directions, the LA Rams travel to Houston to take on the Texans on Sunday. For the first time since Week 3 of the season, the Rams will come into a game having lost the week before.
It’s going to be a lot easier if I can avoid another 3-7 stretch on player props like the one that struck to start the season. There are 13 games this week for punters to enjoy, so the betting opportunities are endless. We preview every game for all 18 weeks of the regular season and the playoffs. With a loss in Foxboro, Massachusetts, the 49ers will have lost more games during the 2020 regular season than they did going 13-3 in 2019.
In a rematch of last year’s Super Bowl, the Panthers will travel to Denver to take on the reigning Champion Broncos. The line opened at Broncos -1 but the public has strongly influenced the line as it currently sits at Panthers -3. Denver seems like a mess at the quarterback spot after surprisingly cutting March Sanchez and naming inexperienced Trevor Siemian to start. More concerning is that they just made a trade a few days ago to acquire quarterback Austin Davis, so they’ll be carrying three QBs including rookie Paxton Lynch. On the other side of the ball, Denver’s defense should be dominant once again this season, and will need to be in order to make any type of deep playoff run.
Murray only threw for 229 yards and but racked up four touchdowns, while the Cards also compiled 144 rushing yards. Murray continues to flash impressive rapport with several pass catchers, while running back James Conner enjoyed his most efficient day as a Cardinal yet with a line on the ground. The Texans could certainly facilitate another big day – Houston is allowing 391.2 total yards per game and 6.2 yards per play.
On the season, I’m on an unsustainable 11-1 heater on team total plays, and I have two more this week. Whenever possible, but especially early in the season, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats. Utilize metrics like success rate and explosive play rates over total yards and points-against.
The Giants hope to turn a long 10-day break into a win on the road this week, although it hardly looks likely given their performance against the Eagles last Friday. Sticking to the script, this is probably the kind of game that will involve further heartbreak for the Bengals. Neither team copes particularly well defensively, so the Overs are a great play. If you’re feeling bold however, you can’t look past the Chiefs in what should be a high-scoring shootout. The possibility of Jared Goff having back-to-back weeks without throwing a touchdown seems extremely low, and against a secondary that remains patchy, this should be a comfortable Rams win.
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